Tuesday, 31 May 2011

Sterling finished last week on a high, gaining against a weaker US dollar as US data disappointed. Sterling therefore starts the week over $1.65/£1 against the US dollar, but this is more the pound tracking euro strength against the dollar. With a long weekend in both the UK and USA, data is thin on the ground today. However, there is a wide range of data on the manufacturing, construction and services sectors later in the week. These figures are closely watched to give a picture of UK economic activity so any significant moves will have an impact on sterling and sterling’s prospects. Call in now for a live exchange rate.

In the euro zone, the big news from the long weekend for those returning to their desks today is that European Union leaders will decide on additional aid for Greece by the end of June. Following a meeting in Paris yesterday, Jean-Claude Juncker (head of group euro-area finance ministers) ruled out a “total restructuring” of Greek debt, with the EU and IMF set to wrap up their recent review of the stricken country’s finances. This has helped the euro to recover from lows hit due to concerns that Greece may even need to leave the euro zone completely. In terms of data, there is inflation data released today so call in now for a live exchange rate.

In the USA, the US dollar slipped against a basket of currencies to the lowest level in 3 weeks, having fallen towards the end of last week after poor data dented the outlook for the US currency. With a recovery from the euro off the back of positive moves on Greece, the US dollar is not an attractive prospect for many investors. Later this week we have manufacturing and employment figures that are likely to cement the view that the US recovery will remain sluggish for now.

Elsewhere, the New Zealand dollar jumped to a record high against the US dollar on speculation that the central Bank will raise interest rates after a report showed that business confidence rose to a 12 month high in May. Following the recent earthquake, an emergency rate cut was made in order to compensate for any lack of growth, but many analysts now expect this to be reversed soon. Get in touch now for a live exchange rate.

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