Thursday, 13 December 2012

Smart Daily Currency Note | The Euro in the ascendancy again

Sterling

Markets seem to have forgotten about the threat of interest rate cuts in the euro zone as the euro had a good day. Sterling on the other hand had a mixed day yesterday, losing half a cent against the euro whilst reaching a 6 week high of 1.6170 against the US dollar on the back of the news that the US central bank had increased monetary easing. Sterling started the day in the ascendancy following much better than expected employment data. Figures released showed that the number of people claiming unemployment benefits actually fell by 3,000 in the last 3 months when a 5,900 increase had been anticipated. Furthermore, the overall unemployment rate stayed at 7.8% when a marginal increase had been expected. There is very little data out of the UK today bar data showing the expected order volumes from manufacturers over the next 3 months. Get in touch now for the most up to date news and rate.

Euro


The euro performed well yesterday, strengthening against the vast majority of currencies and reaching  1.31 against the US dollar in the evening after the Federal Reserve ramped up stimulus as expected. The euro was also buoyed by a relatively successful Italian bond auction, with yield on 1 year bills reaching their lowest level for 9 months. Today investors focus will be turned to EU Economic Summit as they will discuss plans for deeper economic and monetary integration. Call in now to see how this might affect the market, and to get a live price.

US dollar


The US dollar fell against all its major counterparts bar the Japanese yen yesterday ahead of the Federal Reserve announcement that it had extended its monetary stimulus measures, and fell even more quickly  following the announcement.  The announcement also included the news that interest rates will be held at these low levels until the unemployment rate falls to 6.5% which is likely to continue to weaken the dollar. This is the third major round of quantitative easing in the US, so the markets are hardly shocked by the move - some analysts predict that the shift will be short lived, but the fiscal cliff still looms over affairs. Today a swathe of data is released around lunch time which could turn the tide. After poor results last month, a swing to the positive for Retail sales and inflation data could be especially influential. Get in touch now for the most up to date pricing.


Worldwide

Elsewhere, one of the biggest mover of the day was Japanese yen, continuing to lose ground against its major trading peers. Ever increasing speculation that any shift in the country's political make-up will lead to increased levels of quantitative easing saw the yen fall to a 19-month low of 134 versus sterling. It was a different story for the Australian dollar, as news that the US central bank will embark on a further round of monetary easing helped increase demand for the higher-yielding currencies. This news also buoyed the Canadian dollar, helping it rise to an eight-week high versus its US counterpart. Today's major data focuses on the Swiss franc, with the release of the latest Libor rate, followed by a monetary policy assessment and press conference from the Swiss National Bank. Call in now to see how this has influenced the markets and to get a live rate.

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